9. Nick Wilson
Between Lyrsa and Nick, it’s less likely that Nick is going home due to his uncanny ability to make a (named) alliance with almost anyone. He’s already taken up Mike “Ned Schneebly” White on a Rockstars alliance, has other named and unnamed alliances on other tribes and isn’t a beacon of strength required to become a target of a 3-2 tribal voting line. Lyrsa would likely go home in that scenario.
8. Gabby Pascuzzi
Gabby was shown a little skeptical of her position on the new green expansion tribe, Tiva, but as an outside observer, she really has nothing to worry about. The tribe isn’t guaranteed to come in first for every challenge, but at what point will John, Dan and Alison get edged out on strength or her and Christian out-worked on puzzles? Gabby’s already shown her worth, but if Tiva throws it, she might be voted out. Very unlikely, though.
7. Mike White
Put in the pivotal vote flip spot, Mike White is in an unenviable position. He doesn’t really have Angelina in his corner, Nick has come to him with a named alliance and Natalie gets on everybody’s nerves at Jabeni. Seeing how Natalia was voted out, he could see himself voting either way. Regardless, the target’s not on his back, although if push comes to shove, his future game equity would lie in the balance.