1. Nick Wilson
I wouldn’t say that if Nick Wilson doesn’t win Survivor: David vs. Goliath, it will be a travesty, but it’s looking to be his game to lose right now. He did just get blindsided by Christian, yet the edit of the episode gave him a big push in the first half and buried any negativity with him being in the wrong of this vote in the second half.
Nick’s got the benefit of Christian making himself out to be the “get him out now” target of the game going for him, as his Hidden Immunity Idol find could not come at a better time. He has just one enemy now and had zero enemies before Carl was voted out. Since everybody is leaking information to him and he’s got an amazing strategic game to back his social game, his win equity might be the highest in the game.
Since Nick vs. Christian is the battle to watch for, let’s look at this scenario. If he does take out Christian, I think he could win sitting beside anyone else. If both Christian and Kara are out of the game, he might be close to a 10-0-0 scenario at the Final Tribal Council.
He has friends on the jury that can help explain his moves, he hasn’t pissed anybody off and comes off as the victim of Christian’s distrust. This allows himself to make a move and not become the obvious threat to follow.