4) Kelley Wentworth
Odds of winning the challenge:
Similar to David, she has the ability to win this challenge, but she hasn’t shown us anything this season to convince us that she will. She came out of Cambodia as one of the strongest female challenge performers in the past ten seasons. We have yet to see that manifest but make no mistake, Wentworth isn’t finished.
Chances of winning the game:
Prior to getting brutally blindsided, Kelley was playing a solid game. She was able to scrape herself off the bottom and actually have success being in the majority for a little while. Her social game has been great, but she hasn’t really pulled off any key moves. That said, if she can win a couple of immunities and make it to the end, she could earn the title that she has been waiting for.
3) Eric Hafemann
Odds of winning the challenge:
Throughout the pre-merge game, Eric has been a strong physical threat looming in Joe’s shadow. We still don’t know what the final part of the Edge of Extinction challenge will consist of, but the first part involves maneuvering through ropes, and it looks like a firefighter’s dream! I could see Eric flying through this portion, so it’s just a matter of clutching it out in the final phase.
Chances of winning the game:
As the second person voted out following the merge, Eric hasn’t had a lot of time to showcase his strategic game. However, I could see Eric winning the next two or three Immunity Challenges against the easy competition of the Final Five.
He still has allies in the game, plus a likable personality that the jury could vote for. But the only way for him to build up enough momentum for a victory is by winning the next three challenges.