Yul Kwon
One of the more cunning strategists in the game, Yul is an enigma heading into the Edge of Extinction Challenge. He’s proven to be a capable competitor in his past seasons, and he was a workhorse over at Dakal 1.0. The lack of individual immunity wins can be pointed to Ozzy, as he’s great in physical and puzzle aspects of challenges.
Odds he wins the Edge of Extinction Challenge: 8%. Once again, he just arrived on the Edge of Extinction, so he’s likely in a position where he won’t have a meal of rice at the top of the island, and he hasn’t had an opportunity to find any fire tokens. He’s coming in with a survival disadvantage and a power disadvantage, which might be enough to claw back at his overall challenge performance.
Odds he thrives if she returns: 30%. He did just get voted out by Nick, Michele, and Wendell, and he expressed he would feel betrayed if he did return. That might be enough to target him immediately, but Yul does have some options. He also has the Dakal leadership at the merge, including Tony, Kim, Sophie, and Sarah, and perhaps he can bring his spiritual little brother from a different mother, Nick, onto his side.
However, he is a known old-school strategist, making him a big target.