Survivor Winners at War: Who will return from the Edge of Extinction at the merge?

Natalie Anderson

If there was a better editing focus on Natalie than what we saw in the very beginning of Survivor: Winners at War, then I would have given her well and above the top draw status heading into the Edge of Extinction Challenge. She’s clearly the most physically fit of all the competitors being a Crossfit coach, and she’s also a fire token billionaire among a sea of peasants.

Odds she wins the Edge of Extinction Challenge: 23%. With the way fire tokens are set up, she’s capable of relying on her physical excellence to make through most of the course while using one of her fire tokens as an advantage and even use her three remaining fire tokens to create a Hidden Immunity Idol upon her return.

Even better, she can use three of her fire tokens to get advantages on each stage and effectively clean house.

Odds she thrives if she returns: 45%. The reason she was voted out was that she was close to Jeremy Collins as a connection. In a season defined by connections, she can easily fall back in line with the Sele majority that remains, since the people in power like Boston Rob, Ethan, Parvati, and Danni are still back on the Edge of Extinction.

The merge is an opportunity for Natalie to actually play the game of Survivor, as opposed to being targeted for something outside of her control.