Survivor 50 winner odds heavily favor one dominant player

There's still one Survivor 50 player that stands out from the rest of the crowd.
Colby Donaldson, Genevieve Mushaluk, Rizo Velovic, Angelina Keeley, Quintavius "Q" Burdette, Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick, Kyle Fraser, Aubry Bracco of the Vatu tribe on 'Survivor 50'. Robert Voets/CBS
Colby Donaldson, Genevieve Mushaluk, Rizo Velovic, Angelina Keeley, Quintavius "Q" Burdette, Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick, Kyle Fraser, Aubry Bracco of the Vatu tribe on 'Survivor 50'. Robert Voets/CBS

Survivor 50 features 24 returning players who all, in theory, have a good chance of winning the game. This isn't anyone's first rodeo, and they all should, by now, know what it takes to win this game.

Well, as of the Survivor 50 premiere, there's still one player who is a heavy favorite in the futures markets to win Survivor 50: In the Hands of the Fans.

There are possible spoilers below! We don't have any extra information about the season. I'm simply sharing what people are talking about online.

Epic Party
“Epic Party” – 24 returning players are abandoned on the islands of Fiji for a monumental 50th season, with the chance to win $1 million. The theme of the season, “In the Hands of the Fans,” quickly materializes as decisions from the fan vote swiftly and forcefully impact the game in Survivor 50. Photo: Robert Voets/CBS ©2025 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Aubry Bracco is still the favorite to win Survivor 50

Aubry Bracco, the four-time Survivor player, is still the heavy favorite on Kalshi to win Survivor 50. Since Kalshi started allowing users to make moves on the winner of Survivor 50, Aubry has been the favorite, and it hasn't been close.

Currently, Aubry holds a 77% chance to win compared to Cirie Fields at 9% and Joe Hunter at 4% on Kalshi.

We don't have any inside information, but it's odd that one player is this ahead of the rest of the group. Maybe that's how Kalshi works? Maybe not! I really don't have any idea, but I do wonder what it means when nothing has changed, virtually, since Kalshi opened trading on the Survivor 50 winner.

Of course, we don't know what happens out in Fiji during the season. We're watching the season play out, but it's much too early to call anyone a favorite in terms of gameplay. This is simply based on what fans and those who are willing to put some money on the line think of the winner.

Survivor 50
Pictured: Cirie Fields, from the CBS Original Series SURVIVOR, Season 50, scheduled to air on the CBS Television Network. -- Photo: Robert Voets/CBS ©2025 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

There are some rumors that another legend wins Survivor 50

Thanks to a post by a user claiming to be in the know on Reddit's SpoiledSurvivor thread, there is another player who is rumored to be the Survivor 50 winner. That player is Cirie.

It's hard to say how much truth there is to that rumor, obviously. Cirie is No. 2 on Kalshi, so there's reason to believe that fans, or those in the know, think Cirie makes it to the end of Survivor 50. That would be the first time that Cirie reaches Final Tribal Council. She's been close, basically, every time she's played, but she's never made it to that Final Tribal Council.

If she does, I have to imagine that Cirie will win. It's going to be hard to deny her the win at the very end, after all she's meant to the game.

I do want to throw a little disclaimer in there that this is the internet we're talking about. I'm sure there have been so many players rumored to win their season of Survivor. Sometimes, those rumors are very accurate. Sometimes, those rumors are not right. We'll try to share some of the rumors we find to be credible as we find them.

We'll have to wait and see how it all plays out, but it looks a lot like Aubry and Cirie are the two players to watch in Survivor 50. I don't think it's actually simple, but it's going to be interesting.

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