Survivor Game Changers Episode 6: Who Won’t Be Surviving Tribal?
A tribal swap this close to the Survivor Game Changers merge will make exits hard to predict. Who won’t be surviving tribal council in episode 6?
Welcome, once again, to the fifth-ever edition of Surviving Tribal. This is our weekly feature where I make fake betting odds guessing who will be voted out at tribal council each episode. At the beginning of Survivor Game Changers, Cheryl, Cody and I started out with $500 fake dollars to last the season. The person with the most money at the end of the season wins bragging rights and internet points.
Last week in Surviving Tribal, everybody made money by betting on J.T. Thomas, as his shenanigans at the tribal council before his departure showed just how little game awareness he had. With 15 players remaining, 14 of which will likely be on two tribes and one player likely safe on Exile Island, who knows who’s going home this week?
Here’s who we think will be Surviving Tribal in Survivor Game Changers episode 6, “Vote Early, Vote Often.”
Sandra Diaz-Twine – 6/5 (Cody: $130, Daniel: $100, Cheryl: $50)
With six original Mana tribe mates left in the game and a likely split of two tribes of seven in this episode, barring a miraculous swap Sandra Diaz-Twine is in the hot seat. She’s shown to be the biggest threat in the game in a show where she’s always been about “anybody but me.” Unfortunately, I’d be surprised if the vote goes to anybody but her.
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Ozzy Lusth – 2/1 (Daniel: $26.60)
“Ozzy cannot make the merge.” That has to be going through every player’s mind ahead of the merge, especially on a Tavua tribe that hasn’t lost a challenge yet. Of course, they don’t know a tribe swap is coming, but any combination of people should be aware of the imminent threat of a player that can win every single individual immunity challenge.
Debbie Wanner – 2/1 (Cody: $130, Cheryl: $50)
Considering her sudden, over-the-top blow up in the last episode, she’s shown to be completely unpredictable. How can you trust someone who flies off the handle so quick? With old Nuku having a significant numbers advantage, you can afford to take her out now.
Cirie Fields – 3/1
Just as Ozzy has a chance to win each of the individual immunity challenges, once the merge comes, you don’t want Cirie to be able to form a tight alliance and run everyone else into the ground. She’s the biggest strategic threat in the game, and could have been voted out already had she visited tribal council more than zero times so far.
Hali Ford – 4/1 (Cheryl: $25)
Hali’s proven herself as a capable strategist and great social player, making plenty of relationships despite being done in numbers on her current Mana tribe. If she’s on a tribe where the numbers aren’t in her favor (likely), she could be out first post-swap.
Jeff Varner – 4/1 (Daniel: $100, Cheryl: $25)
It hurts to admit it, but Jeff Varner aligning himself with Sandra may prove to be his downfall. As Sandra burns all bridges with her current Nuku and shows her power level to old Mana, being her right-hand man could land himself the subject of a vote if they believe she has a hidden immunity idol.
Aubry Bracco – 4/1
She’s been on the outs with old Mana and new Nuku. Hell, she’s been on the outs for the entirety of Survivor Game Changers. To avoid losing a more prominent member of that original Mana tribe, the swap dynamics could prove her to be the subject of a vote. She’s too big a wild card in a swap situation.
Michaela Bradshaw – 5/1
Michaela has provided quality entertainment so far, but her biggest issue has been how her personality comes across with tribe mates. She’s strong enough to compete in individual immunity challenges, but she might be carried as a goat if she’s not making any friends.
Zeke Smith – 6/1
Zeke is in a weird spot where everyone has forgotten his mystery factor due to him not having to scramble ever. Perhaps being aligned with Cirie will put an idol-evading vote target on his back. At this point, getting rid of old Nuku and new Tavua is good for all other tribal configurations.
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Brad Culpepper – 7/1
No matter the situation, Brad Culpepper is likely going to be in a good position in his swap tribe. However, since Hali and the new Nuku tribe know of Brad’s power level, there are some odd situations where he could become the subject of a major blindside. Getting him out ahead of the merge means getting out a possible winner early.
Tai Trang – 8/1 (Cody: $20)
Depending on who you ask, Tai could be a possible jury threat based on everybody loving him. However, considering he can’t really think for himself and plays fairly loyally to honest, good people, he probably won’t win Survivor Game Changers. His threat level depends on the personal perspectives of others.
Andrea Boehlke – 9/1
Is she still on this show?
Sierra Dawn-Thomas – 9/1
Sierra is tight in her alliance, provides strength in challenges within a tribe-versus-tribe scenario and holds an advantage she could use in tricky ways in this and the next episode. She’s fairly safe.
More from Season 34 Game Changers
- Survivor Game Changers wins GLAAD Awards’ Outstanding Reality Program
- Survivor Awards 2017: Best episode of the year
- Jeff Probst defends Survivor Game Changers’ outlandish idol count
- Big Brother 19’s handling of transphobia makes me proud of Survivor
- Survivor Game Changers: 5 Players we most want to play again
Sarah Lacina – 12/1
Sarah wants to play like a criminal and seems to place herself in a situation where she may pull it off with someone she doesn’t know has an idol. She’s square in the middle of the radar, with benefits to boot.
Troyzan Robertson – 20/1
He still has an idol. He’s not as stupid as J.T. The Mamanuca Islands continue to be owned by him for now.
Survivor Game Changers Episode 6 Money Totals
Daniel: $840
Cody: $800
Cheryl: $615.8
Next: Survivor Game Changers: Ranking All 33 Previous Seasons
Survivor Game Changers episode 6, “Vote Early, Vote Often,” will air tonight at 8 p.m. ET.