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Is winning challenges in Survivor the best way to make it to the end?

Scoring immunity wins is a great way to outlast your fellow castaways—if you can keep it up…

"It All Boils Down to This" - Natalie Anderson, Tony Vlachos and Michele Fitzgerald at Tribal Council on the three-hour season finale episode of SURVIVOR: WINNERS AT WAR, airing Wednesday, May 13th (8:00-11:00 PM, ET/PT) on the CBS Television Network. Photo: Screen Grab/CBS Entertainment ©2020 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
"It All Boils Down to This" - Natalie Anderson, Tony Vlachos and Michele Fitzgerald at Tribal Council on the three-hour season finale episode of SURVIVOR: WINNERS AT WAR, airing Wednesday, May 13th (8:00-11:00 PM, ET/PT) on the CBS Television Network. Photo: Screen Grab/CBS Entertainment ©2020 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Since the beginning of the Survivor's history back in 2000, challenges have been one of the most crucial parts of the game to ensure safety from Tribal Council to Tribal Council. In fact, having immunity—most commonly received through challenges, but also available in convenient hidden idol form now—guarantees your fellow tribe mates can’t vote you out.

But challenge immunity is never guaranteed and even the best lose. Sometimes, if you’re the best, losing a challenge effectively kills you in the game and opens the door for those that see you as a threat to send you home. But if you keep winning challenges, no one can send you home…

In fact, 91% of both male and female individual immunity challenge record holders—five and four challenges won in an individual season, respectively—have gone on to plead their case at Final Tribal Council. And 50% of individual immunity challenge record holders have gone on to win the game.

We always hear host Jeff Probst telling our players they have to, "dig deep" in challenges if they want to make it to the next day. But do they?

Because it’s not impossible to get to the end if you’re not a strong challenge player. More than half of the time, the players who make it to the Final Five have collectively won less than 75% of their season’s individual immunity challenges.

On average, across 50 seasons, only 15% of Final Five players have won individual immunity.

And in those 50 seasons, there have only been seven seasons where the Final Five players collectively won all individual immunity challenges:

  • Survivor: Africa
  • Survivor: Palau
  • Survivor: Panama
  • Survivor: Cook Islands
  • Survivor: Gabon
  • Survivor 43
  • Survivor 46

As for winners, there have been 12 seasons where a winner was crowned who never won a single individual immunity challenge:

  • Tina Wesson (Survivor: The Australian Outback)
  • Sandra Diaz-Twine (Survivor: Pearl Islands)
  • Yul Kwon (Survivor: Cook Islands)
  • Earl Cole (Survivor: Fiji)
  • Todd Herzog (Survivor: China)
  • Natalie White (Survivor: Samoa)
  • Sandra Diaz-Twine (Survivor: Heroes vs. Villains)
  • Tony Vlachos (Survivor: Cagayan)
  • Sarah Lacina (Survivor: Game Changers)
  • Ben Driebergen (Survivor: Heroes vs. Healers vs. Hustlers)
  • Tommy Sheehan (Survivor: Island of the Idols)
  • Maryanne Oketch (Survivor 42)

And actually, on average, winners across all 50 seasons have only won 1.82 individual immunity challenges. So are challenge wins the resume padder the show makes them out to be? While they definitely are helpful in getting to the end, 24% of seasons giving the title of Sole Survivor to players who never won any individual immunities goes to show that the social and strategic elements of the game might be even more important. At least to those specific juries.

Because as we know, season-to-season, as the jury changes, the criteria for winning changes along with them. So some juries might favor wins over strategy while others might fall back on the social relationships built to choose their winner.

But based on the stats above, it seems maybe you don’t have to be a challenge beast to get to the end…

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