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Every player who might have won Survivor if they hadn't lost fire-making

After the fire-making challenge was permanently added in season 35, there have been a handful of incredible players who missed out on the $1 million simply due to a lack of flame.

“Reverse the Curse” – Back from tribal, tensions rise following the exit of a particularly historic player. The final five immunity challenge ends in a showdown and features one of the closest finishes the show has ever seen. Jeff reveals the outcomes of the remaining in-game fan votes and how they impact the final stage of the competition. Then, one castaway will be crowned Sole Survivor and awarded the $2 million prize, during the three-hour live season finale, on SURVIVOR 50, Wednesday, May
“Reverse the Curse” – Back from tribal, tensions rise following the exit of a particularly historic player. The final five immunity challenge ends in a showdown and features one of the closest finishes the show has ever seen. Jeff reveals the outcomes of the remaining in-game fan votes and how they impact the final stage of the competition. Then, one castaway will be crowned Sole Survivor and awarded the $2 million prize, during the three-hour live season finale, on SURVIVOR 50, Wednesday, May

One of the most divisive pieces of Survivor will always be the fire-making challenge. In the earlier seasons, it was an important element to help break a tie, but eventually it became a standard piece of the Final Four’s fight to get a chance to earn the jury’s $1 million vote. And it’s…complicated whether the new format is fair or not.

Towards the beginning, it made sense to let fire be the tie-breaker because, well, something had to be. And in Survivor, as host Jeff Probst tells up at every player’s first Tribal Council, "In this game, fire represents your life. When your fire's gone, so are you." Which makes it very poetic for the last resort challenge to be about fire.

But with the emphasis Survivor has placed on outwit and the social element of the game—especially in the new era—it’s kind of confusing for a challenge to occur when there’s still enough players left in the game to have a majority vote at Tribal Council and use social gameplay to get themself to the end rather than what’s essentially a secondary immunity challenge.

I digress… the real question is whether or not our players who lost at Final Four fire-making would have won the game or not—assuming they made it to the end instead of their duel adversary. And for some of them, that was truly a $1 million fire…

Epic Party
“Epic Party” – 24 returning players are abandoned on the islands of Fiji for a monumental 50th season, with the chance to win $1 million. The theme of the season, “In the Hands of the Fans,” quickly materializes as decisions from the fan vote swiftly and forcefully impact the game in Survivor 50. Photo: Robert Voets/CBS ©2025 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Rick Devens - Survivor: Edge of Extinction

For Devens, the final fire-making challenge was truly the make-or-break moment of his game. Up until that point, he and future winner Chris Underwood had played remarkably similar games—both being sent to the Edge of Extinction early on and then winning their way back into the game—but Devens clearly had the harder job of keeping himself in the game longer. If Devens had won fire, he absolutely had the resume to win the game.

Lauren Beck Survivor Island of the Idols 13
"Just Go for It" - Lauren Beck on the Thirteenth episode of SURVIVOR: Island of Idols airing Wednesday, Dec. 11th (8:00-9:00 PM, ET/PT) on the CBS Television Network. Photo: Screen Grab/CBS Entertainment ©2019 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Lauren Ashley Beck - Survivor: Island of the Idols

Lauren was sent to fire because she had played the same game as future winner Tommy Sheehan and he needed her out so that he could get those jury votes and not split them between the two. In fact, objectively, Lauren may have played a better resume-game as she was the one targeted. So despite Tommy’s great social game, Lauren could have possibly squeaked out a win if she’d made it to the Final Tribal Council.

Sarah Lacina Survivor Winners at War episode 13
"The Penultimate Step of the War" - Sarah Lacina on the two-hour Thirteenth episode of SURVIVOR: WINNERS AT WAR, airing Wednesday, May 6th (8:00-10:00 PM, ET/PT) on the CBS Television Network. Photo: Screen Grab/CBS Entertainment ©2020 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved

Sarah Lacina - Survivor: Winners at War

This season, Sarah and Tony Vlachos decided to actually work together and it got them far—all the way to the Final Four fire-making challenge. Ultimately, Natalie Anderson decided she couldn’t have both Sarah and Tony sitting next to her at the end and opted to split them up by putting them in fire. Tony won fire and went on to win the game, but had Sarah been the one sitting at the end, she and Tony had very similar resumes and all his votes very likely could have gone to her.

SURVIVOR
Jesse Lopez from SURVIVOR Season 43. -- Photo: Robert Voets/CBS ©2022 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Jesse Lopez - Survivor 43

Jesse played a great strategic game across the entire season. So much so that fans at home were sure he was a lock to win. But when he lost fire-making to future winner Mike Gabler, everything went up in—literal—flames for him. He took that moment with him to the jury and made the argument that Gabler deserved to win because he was the one who took out Jesse, the best player in the game. Everyone opted to agree and award him the $1 million simply for beating Jesse at fire.

I'm the Bandit
“I’m the Bandit” – Castaways must get the ball rolling in the right direction at the reward challenge to win a relaxing evening at the sanctuary. Then, with only six castaways left, it is an emotional struggle to decide which castaway will be going home, on SURVIVOR, Wednesday, May 17 (8:00-9:00 PM, ET/PT) on the CBS Television Network, and available to stream live and on demand on Paramount+. Pictured (L-R): Carson Garrett. Photo: CBS ©2023 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Highest

Carson Garrett - Survivor 44

The Tika Three were somehow simultaneously the underdogs and the puppeteers of this season. Had all three of them made it to the Final Tribal Council, it would have been a very close call. While future winner Yam Yam Arocho played a better social game than Carson, he played the better strategic game. There would have been a much closer split than the 7-1-0 vote it ended up being.

Epic Party
“Epic Party” – 24 returning players are abandoned on the islands of Fiji for a monumental 50th season, with the chance to win $1 million. The theme of the season, “In the Hands of the Fans,” quickly materializes as decisions from the fan vote swiftly and forcefully impact the game in Survivor 50. Photo: Robert Voets/CBS ©2025 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Kamilla Karthigesu - Survivor 48

Kamilla and future winner Kyle Fraser knew at the end of the game they could not both be sitting at the Final Three because they played the same shadow game, effectively making every move together from day 1. And if Kamilla had won fire against Eva Erickson, she would have had that challenge win to compare to Kyle’s Final Immunity win. Again, it would have been a much tighter final as some of Kyle’s votes likely would have gone to Kamilla as some of the jury were upset he took Joe Hunter to the end.

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