We’ve finally reached the really fun part of Survivor 50! After eight episodes, we have 11 players left. We have six more players to vote out before the finale after another double elimination.
With five episodes left in Survivor 50, a few players are moving to the front of the line and looking more and more like they’re going to win this season. The same is true for a few other players who find themselves in a tough spot as we get close to the end of the game.
I ranked all 11 players left based on how likely it is that they make it to the end and win Survior 50. Let’s get the list started with the player who suffered the biggest L outside of Coach and Chrissy Hofbeck during episode 8, Joe Hunter.
11. Joe Hunter
Joe Hunter is in a really tough spot coming out the latest episode. After winning immunity with Tiffany Ervin and making a plan of sorts to target some of the other pairs, the vote flipped back to Coach and Chrissy, two of Joe’s biggest allies in the game.
With them out, Joe has Jonathan Young, maybe Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick, and no one else in his corner. Now, on one hand, that makes him a number to be scooped up by an alliance, but it also makes him extremely vulnerable.
Joe isn’t going to be able to play the honor and loyalty game and win this season, and I don’t think he has it in him to play much differently than we’ve seen. Outside of winning challenges, he’s in big trouble.
10. Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick
Stephenie has had an up and down game in Survivor 50, so it might be a little unfair to keep her this low on the list. I just don’t feel like she’s playing the game or getting the edit that will take her to the end and win.
On the plus side, she’s worked with a lot of players and come out on the right side of a lot of votes. That’s promising that she keeps surviving without the target shifting to her, which could have happened multiple times.
But, her top allies of Coach, Chrissy, and Colby Donaldson have been voted out recently. Now, she’s going to have to work her way into an alliance to stay alive.
The other bad news is that Cirie Fields can read Stephenie like a book. She’s in big trouble if she has to lie to Cirie. Stephenie has to move very carefully now.
9. Tiffany Ervin
Tiffany Ervin is one of my favorite Survivor players who returned for season 50, and finally, Tiff got some screen time after winning immunity with Joe Hunter in episode 8. Had she not won, there was a strong likelihood that she would have been going home after receiving multiple votes and being the backup at the last Tribal Council.
Tiff has a lot of work to do to get to the end of the game now. She has few allies outside of Aubry Bracco, and eventually, Tiff might be an easy-ish vote if the two bigger alliances that are forming don't pull her into the ranks.
8. Rick Devens
Rick Devens is one of the most polarizing figures of Survivor 50 so far. You either love Devens, or you don't. Ultimately, he seems like he's not quite considered a huge threat, but he was very much on the chopping block after losing the latest immunity challenge. Had he not channeled his inner Survivor idol-superstar persona that everyone is expecting of him, he and Aubry Bracco could have been eliminated instead of Coach and Chrissy.
I'm not quite sure if Devens has what it takes to flip this game in his favor. There are some really strong alliances forming, but if you look at him and Christian as a duo, eventually, everyone will wake up to the fact that they are super dangerous and could win the whole game. That's the biggest reason Devens is probably going to get voted out before making it further in the game.
7. Aubry Bracco
Aubry Bracco was so close to getting voted out of Survivor 50 episode 8 before Devens pulled the stunt with the hidden immunity idol that's actually a fake. Right now, I don't really know what to make of Aubry's game. She has allies, but not enough. She seems like she's one of the "middle people," as Coach called them, but she might also be playing a better game than we've seen so far.
If Aubry is able to get in with one of the two major alliances, she's smart enough without a huge threat level to make it all the way back to Final Tribal Council. If she makes it there, she could definitely win this season.
6. Christian Hubicki
Christian Hubicki is in such a tough spot. Do I think he's actually going to win? Unfortunately, I don't, but it's not because I don't think he can win. He totally can win! And, that's why he won't. Christian is simply too smart, and he's a huge threat because of that.
He's in a decent alliance, and he has connections with Ozzy and Cirie and a bunch of other players, but eventually, I think everyone realizes just how good of a game Christian is playing. He basically dictated every vote heading into the merge. He's gotten lucky a few times with these twists lately, and that helps him. Still, I think Cirie and Ozzy are going to realize just how much of a problem Christian could be if he swings some of these players together against them.
5. Emily Flippen
Emily Flippen is such an interesting player in Survivor 50. She's making some moves, playing the middle, and sharing great ideas. She tried to vote out Cirie Fields first, and she probably should have. She also tried to flip the first merge vote back to Coach before that ultimately fizzled out. She has all the right instincts, and that's what you need to win.
On top of that, I think everyone is underestimating her. She's not a threat to win challenges, and she doesn't appear to be playing too hard yet. She's playing a little sloppy, but I'm not totally convinced that isn't part of the show. I think she's almost playing down her threat level to appear to not be as in the loop and pulling the strings as she actually is.
4. Jonathan Young
I had no idea what to expect from Jonathan Young in Survivor 50. I don't think he played a great game on Survivor 42, but there was a lot of talk that he was working with Boston Rob to brush up on the social and strategic parts of the game prior to Survivor 50, and I think it worked out for him so far.
Jonathan showed a lot more strategy than we were expecting with the Kamilla Karthigesu blindside and the Dee Valladares vote, and he deserves a lot more credit than I want to give him for those moves. I'm a fan of Dee and Kamilla, so I hated to see them go the way they did. But, Jonathan gets points for those moves. If he's able to keep doing that, he can actually win.
Do I think he will win? Not really, but he definitely can!
3. Ozzy Lusth
Obviously, you can see where my head is with my top three. Ozzy Lusth is the third most likely player to win Survivor 50. He's in a great alliance with Cirie Fields and Rizo Velovic, but he's also got an individual immunity under his belt. He almost got a second in episode 8, too. Ozzy might not be the complete physical threat that he was 10 or 15 years ago, but he's still incredible out there in these challenges.
Plus, I just think Ozzy is playing a more strategic game than we've seen in the past from him. It might not be enough to win. He's going to need some help, but those simple changes, thinking more logically, and trying to nurture important relationships seem to be working out for him.
2. Rizo Velovic
Rizo Velovic was such a wildcard coming into Survivor 50. No one knew how he played, and it looked like a lot of players wanted him out immediately. Coach just revealed he wanted to target Rizo from the jump, but then, Rizo won everyone over. Well, maybe not everyone, but he did enough to stick around, and now, he's in a great position with an alliance of two of the greatest Survivor players the game has ever seen.
Rizo is holding his own, too. It's not like he's riding the coattails until the end. He's providing moments and doing legendary things. And, he's not doing it in a way that's annoying like he did with his idol in Survivor 49.
Rizo has a lot of power in the game. He has protection, and he has an immunity idol. It's going to take an organized effort to take him out, and I just don't think it's going to happen.
1. Cirie Fields
After the last two episodes, there's been a shift in Survivor 50! It's starting to feel like Cirie Fields is going to finally get her first win on Survivor on her fifth time playing the US reality series.
Cirie just seems like she has this cast wrapped around her finger. She has solid allies in Rizo Velovic and Ozzy Lusth, but she also has ties and a good relationship with a bunch of the other players. Almost no one thinks that Cirie is going to vote them out, and yet, she's done it a few times.
Cirie's superpower is analysis. She knows how certain moves affect the game, and she's able to see several moves down the line better than any player in, potentially, the show's history. She also just has a knack for getting people to do what she wants.
Look at how she changed the entire vote to Chrissy and Coach after returning from Exile Island. She dialed up their exit within minutes of returning. Everyone fell in line.
I might be hoping too much that Cirie wins this season, but I really like how she's playing, the edit she's getting, and how the other players are treating her. This could be the time she finally wins!
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