Survivor 50 may have wrapped, but we won't know anything that went down on Fiji until next year—even with a very vague hint at what to expect from Cirie Fields. So, of course, we have to imagine, or use a computerized probability system to predict how things might go.
Previously on AI Survivor 50... down to 18 contestants, our players were hit with a day 8 tribe swap that led to a series of blindsides. But finally, the day they'd been waiting for arrived when it was time to earn the merge. Christian surprised everyone by being the first to win individual immunity and a final elimination before everyone got their buffs changed the trajectory of some alliances.
Now with the tribes officially merged and the start of the jury, it's full steam ahead for our 13 remaining players who are all-in and keeping their guards up for every conversation they have.

Day 13
The Motu tribe awakens, everyone officially merged. Emily and Genevieve talk to Tiffany at the water well, proposing a women's alliance between the former Bula and Vinaka members. Cirie, on the other hand, suggests a majority-merge alliance of quiet, non-flashy players to S49 #1 and Mike. Jenna, Aubry, and Dee feel like they're in the middle of the pack right now and could find themselves open to either direction.
Individual Immunity Challenge: Players balance on a narrow beam while stacking domino-like blocks in a line to properly fall and hit a gong at the end. Ozzy leads for most of the challenge, but miscalculates the distance between two blocks, creating an opening for the calm and steady Charlie to sneak in and earn individual immunity.
Emily, Genevieve, Tiffany, Aubry, and Jenna form a tight 5-women alliance and choose to target Ozzy. Cirie, Mike, S49 #1, and S49 #2 quietly agree Genevieve needs to go before she gains too much power. Dee pitches splitting the vote between Ozzy and Genevieve to Charlie and Christian in case someone plays an idol.
At the first officially merged Tribal Council, Jeff reaffirms that with no tribe lines, this is when the game gets real. Everyone agrees with Dee, emphasizing, "You can't out-muscle the merge. You have to out-maneuver it."
Five votes for Genevieve. Eight votes for Ozzy.
Ozzy Lusth is the twelfth person voted out of AI Survivor 50.

Day 14
Tensions are rising after a loyalty was tested at last night's Tribal Council. Genevieve is furious about someone flipping, but tries her best not to show it. Emily, Jenna, and Aubry realize they don't have the control they thought and want to pull in Christian to try and gain back the power. S49 #1 and S49 #2 privately align with a plan to shake things up when the time comes.
Players arrive at the challenge site to find it set up for two groups. Jeff announces there will be a double elimination tonight and randomly divides Motu into two teams. The last player standing in each team wins immunity. The final winner gets a reward feast for their team. Both teams will individually go to Tribal Council and vote someone out, but the winning team goes second, which is crucial because the first person eliminated tonight will not make the jury.
Team A (Orange): Christian Hubicki, Dee Valladares, Genevieve Mushaluk, Jenna Lewis-Dougherty, S49 #1, Cirie Fields
Team B (Purple): Emily Flippen, Charlie Davis, Mike White, Tiffany Ervin, Aubry Bracco, S49 #2
Immunity Challenge: Players balance on a narrow perch while holding onto a handle above their heads. Christian reminds everyone how he filibustered his way to a win the last time he competed in this challenge and uses the same tactic to secure Team A immunity. Meanwhile, Charlie tunes him out, playing his favorite songs on repeat in his head, and is the last one standing for Team B. Christian loses focus and slips, giving Team B the reward.
Team B goes to the sanctuary for a steak feast, where Charlie guesses the other group will have a majority vote against Genevieve. Back at camp, however, Jenna is pitching to Cirie the idea of keeping Geneveive in the game as a shield and getting rid of S49 #1 since their game is less known and they could be sneakier down the road.
Team A Tribal Council: Two votes for S49 #1. Four votes for Genevieve.
Genevieve Mushaluk is the thirteenth person voted out of AI Survivor 50.
Team B Tribal Council: Two votes for Mike. Four votes for S49 #2.
S49 #2 is the fourteenth person voted out of AI Survivor 50 and the first member of the jury.

Days 15 & 16
With the jury now in play, everyone starts to think of who the right next vote is to maintain jury management.
Reward Challenge: Mike White wins a trip to the sanctuary for a picnic spread and chooses Charlie, Tiffany, and S49 #1 to join him.
While at the sanctuary, Mike pitches the four of them plus Christian for Final 5. When Tiffany asks who would go next, he says it's Cirie's time. Back at camp, Cirie can tell Mike is no longer with her and pulls in Dee and Jenna to try and shift the target to Mike.
The next morning Emily, Tiffany, and Aubry strategize over who the actual threat of Motu is landing between Christian, Charlie, and Mike.
Individual Immunity Challenge: Players stand on a small beam, holding a block against a frame with their head. If the block falls or their hands touch the frame, they're out. Everyone is surprised when Charlie is the last to fall, pulling out back-to-back immunity wins.
With Charlie safe, there are three main names being whispered around camp: Cirie, Mike, and Christian. Conversations are quiet, but opinions are loud as everyone fights over who needs to go tonight. Christian feels the vote for Cirie is too straightforward and wonders if he should play his idol.
At Tribal Council, Jeff wants to talk about Survivor momentum and how some players gain it through challenge wins while others might build it from the shadows. Everyone argues different points about at what point momentum is good for your game and when you need to slow down. Tiffany notes, "Sometimes the right move is not the safest, and sometimes the safest move is not the right one."
Four votes for Christian. Six votes for Cirie.
Cirie Fields is the fifteenth person voted out of AI Survivor 50 and the second member of the jury.

Days 17 & 18
Now that Cirie is gone, the vibes back at camp feel uneasy. Half the tribe knows they made a necessary elimination while the other half worries they just eliminated their last shield.
Reward Challenge: Charlie Davis wins a trip to the sanctuary for comfort, kabobs, and brownies. He takes Tiffany, Jenna, and S49 #1—players notice a pattern in the reward participants.
Over at the sanctuary, the winners eat and strategize. S49 #1 asks Charlie if he and Christian have a Final Two pact, but gets a vague answer about not having decided who he wants to sit next to yet. Back at camp, Mike is annoyed about being replaced by Jenna in the reward group. Dee, Emily, and Aubry use it as a chance to take back control of the game.
The next morning, the tribe is nervous about the upcoming challenge after Charlie has been sweeping the last few.
Individual Immunity Challenge: Players must balance a ball on a wooden disc in one hand. At different intervals, more balls will be added. The last player to keep all balls from falling wins. It comes down to Tiffany and Charlie, everyone holding their breath until Charlie fumbles and Tiffany wins individual immunity.
With Charlie vulnerable for the first time in weeks, he seems like the obvious vote. But Mike, Charlie, and Jenna think that makes it the perfect time to blindside Christian and burn his idol, while Aubry, Emily, Dee, and Tiffany have the same thoughts about a Mike blindside. The girls bring in Christian while Charlie tries to pull in S49 #1 and Emily, which causes her to pause, unsure which power player to vote out.
When Jeff asks what tonight's Tribal Council is about, Emily answers simply, "It's about future-proofing your game."
Three votes for Christian. Six votes for Mike.
Mike White is the sixteenth person voted out of AI Survivor 50 and the third member of the jury.

Days 19 & 20
With Mike's elimination, Jenna thinks she's on the bottom, but is getting approached by Emily, Aubry, Dee, and Tiffany and starts to feel a little more valuable as a potential number for them.
Reward Challenge: S49 #1 wins a trip to the sanctuary for a roast feast with all the fixings. They choose to bring along Christian, Jenna, and Dee.
At the sanctuary, Christian pitches the group for a Final Four alliance, alluding to blowing up their games at Final Tribal from the jury if they go against him. At camp, Emily, Tiffany, and Aubry fear Dee is out for herself and could easily flip to whatever alliance is forming over the feast.
The next morning, Charlie tries to pitch a plan to Aubry boasting that he's going to do everything in his power to take back his immunity streak and be in charge of the next vote.
Individual Immunity Challenge: Players navigate themselves through tangled lengths of ropes they are clipped into, then must solve a slide puzzle and call out the winning phrase. Charlie, desperate to win, gets badly tangled in the ropes while Dee, Christian, and Aubry take the lead. Aubry solves the puzzle in a blink and scores her first immunity of the season—second ever!
Two plans float around camp that afternoon: finally vote out Charlie or blindside Christian. The reward four are aiming their targets at Charlie, feeling in control, Dee thinking she also has Emily's loyalty. Tiffany, Aubry, Charlie, and Emily know Christian is feeling safe, and therefore, now is the time to strike. Emily tries and figure out who in the reward four would flip without blowing up their plan.
Motu walks into Tribal Council and Jeff can tell that something definitive is in the air. There is minimal conversation as no one wants to give too much away, so he quickly gets the voting started. When asked if anyone would like to play an advantage, no one speaks up.
Three votes for Charlie. Five votes for Christian.
Christian Hubicki is the seventeenth person voted out of AI Survivor 50 and the fourth member of the jury.
Final 7: Emily Flippen, Jenna Lewis-Dougherty, Tiffany Ervin, Dee Valladares, Charlie Davis, Aubry Bracco, S49 #1
Elimination Recap
1. Jonathan Young (Day 2)
2. Q Burdette (Day 3)
3. Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick (Day 4)
4. Rick Devens (Day 5)
5. Chrissy Hofbeck (Day 6)
6. Angelina Keeley (Day 7)
7. Coach Wade (Day 8)
8. Colby Donaldson (Day 9)
9. Kamilla Karthigesu (Day 10)
10. Kyle Fraser (Day 11)
11. Joe Hunter (Day 12)
12. Ozzy Lusth (Day 13)
13. Genevieve Mushaluk (Day 14)
14. S49 #2 - 1st Jury Member (Day 14)
15. Cirie Fields - 2nd Jury Member (Day 16)
16. Mike White - 3rd Jury Member (Day 18)
17. Christian Hubicki - 4th Jury Member (Day 20)
As the jury continues to form, each vote becomes more important and our players are contemplating every possible outcome to get them to the end. With Final Tribal in sight, how will our castaways adapt their strategy to match each elimination to ensure they have the right argument as to why they deserve the $1 million?
Find out next time on the finale of AI Survivor 50!
More from Surviving Tribal: